Best Supporting Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama, Musical or Comedy
Likely
Amy Adams, “Vice”
Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk”
Emma Stone, “The Favourite”
Rachel Weisz, “The Favourite”
Borderline
Claire Foy, “First Man”
Nicole Kidman, “Boy Erased”
Margot Robbie, “Mary Queen of Scots”
Michelle Yeoh, “Crazy Rich Asians”
Lowdown: Has Foy faded? Can Kidman earn two nods? Is Yeoh popular enough to make the cut? Is Robbie the starpower NBC, er, the HFPA need?
Best Supporting Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama, Musical or Comedy
Likely
Mahershala Ali, “Green Book”
Timothee Chalamet, “Beautiful Boy”
Sam Elliott, “A Star is Born”
Richard E. Grant, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
Borderline
Steve Carell, “Vice”
Michael B. Jordan, “Black Panther”
Nicholas Hoult, “The Favourite”
Sam Rockwell, “Vice”
Lowdown: Do they love “The Favourite” enough to anoint Hoult? Does Jordan begin his Oscar nomination run at the Globes? Or is it Carell or Rockwell from “Vice”?
Best Director
Likely
Bradley Cooper, “A Star is Born”
Alfonso Cuaron, “Roma”
Spike Lee, “BlacKkKlansman”
Yorgos Lanthimos, “The Favourite”
Borderline:
Ryan Coogler, “Black Panther”
Damien Chazelle, “First Man”
Barry Jenkins, “If Beale Street Could Talk”
Rob Marshall, “Mary Poppins Returns”
Adam McKay, “Vice”
Lowdown: We’re very, very afraid they will snub Spike here, but if they do it likely guarantees Jenkins makes the five. Also, don’t be shocked if McKay rounds out the Globe field.
Best Screenplay
Likely
“BlacKkKlansman”
“Green Book”
“The Favourite”
“If Beale Street Could Talk”
Borderline
“A Star is Born”
“Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
“Vice”
Lowdown: Don’t expect “First Reformed” to surprise here. HFPA are not fans.
Best Original Score
Likely
“If Beale Street Could Talk”
“Mary Poppins Returns”
Borderline
“Black Panther”
“First Man”
“Sisters Brothers”
“Suspiria”
“Vice”
Lowdown: Frankly, the only locks are “Beale” and “Poppins.” Everything else is a flip ’em at the moment.
Best Original Song
Likely
“All the Stars” from “Black Panther”
“Shallow” from “A Star is Born”
“Trip A Little Light Fantastic” from “Mary Poppins Returns”
Borderline
“Ashes” from “Deadpool 2”
“Girl in the Movies” from “Dumplin'”
“Here Comes The Change” from “On the Basis of Sex”
“I’ll Fight” from “RBG”
“Revelation” from “Boy Erased”
“The Place Where Lost Things Go” from “Mary Poppins Returns”
“When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings” from “The Ballad of Buster Scruggs”
“Wrapped Up” from “Vox Lux”
Lowdown: “The Place Where Lost Things Go” could be the “Poppins” selection, but we’re betting on the more memorable “Light Fantastic.” “All The Stars” could get shafted, but along with “Shallow” they are the only three locks in this category in our opinion.
Best Animated Feature Film
Likely
“Incredibles 2”
“Isle of Dogs”
“Ralph Breaks The Internet”
“Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse”
Borderline
“Early Man”
“The Grinch”
“Miril”
“Smallfoot”
Lowdown: Will it be “Early Man,” “Mirai,” “Smallfoot” or “The Grinch” for the fifth slot? Place your bets.
Best Foreign Language Film
Likely
“Cold War”
“Girl”
“The Guilty”
“Roma”
Borderline
“Border”
“Burning”
“Capernaum”
“Never Look Away”
Lowdown: Likely “Capernaum” or “Never Look Away” will round out the category. And don’t get me started on “Girl.” Pushing that release date to 2019 means a lot of the American Trans community won’t see it until after year-end awards consideration therefore diminishing the expected backlash.
