Prediction based on nominations [Feb. 5]
TOP FIVE
1. Kenneth Lonergan, “Manchester by the Sea”
2. Taylor Sheridan, “Hell or High Water”
3. Efthymis Filippou, Yorgos Lanthimos, “The Lobster”
4. Mike Mills, “20th Century Women”
5. Damien Chazelle, “La La Land”
PREVIOUS CONTENDERS (for historical context)
Anthony Bagarozzi, Shane Black, “The Nice Guys”
Kelly Fremon Craig, “Edge of Seventeen”
Jim Jarmusch, “Patterson”
Nicholas Martin, “Florence Foster Jenkins”
Noah Oppenheim, “Jackie”
Matt Ross, “Captain Fantastic”
Maren Ade, “Toni Erdmann”
Jared Bush, Byron Howard, Phil Johnson, Jennifer Lee, Rich Moore, Jim Reardon, Josie Trinidad, “Zootopia”
John Carney, “Sing Street”
Jean McGianni Celestin, Nate Parker, “The Birth of a Nation”
Chad Hartigan, “Morris From America”
Kyle Hunter, Arien Shaffir, Seth Rogen, Evan Goldberg, “Sausage Party”
Steven Knight, “Allied”
Richard Linklater, “Everybody Wants Some!”
Jon Spaihts, “Passengers”
Gregory Ellwood’s Current Oscar Predictions:
Best Picture
Director
Best Actress
Best Actor
Best Supporting Actress
Best Supporting Actor
Original Screenplay
Adapted Screenplay
Editing
Cinematography
Production Design
Animated Feature Film
Foreign Language Film
Documentary Feature
Original Score
Original Song
Costume Design
Makeup and Hairstyling
Visual Effects
Sound Mixing
Sound Editing