Prediction based on nominations [Feb. 5]
NOMINEES
1. Damien Chazelle, “La La Land”
2. Barry Jenkins, “Moonlight”
3. Kenneth Lonergan, “Manchester by the Sea”
4. Denis Villeneuve, “Arrival”
5. Mel Gibson, “Hacksaw Ridge”
PREVIOUS CONTENDERS (for historical context)
Garth Davis, “Lion”
Clint Eastwood, “Sully”
Pablo Larrain, “Jackie”
David Mackenzie, “Hell or High Water”
Stephen Frears, “Florence Foster Jenkins”
Martin Scorsese, “Silence”
Denzel Washington, “Fences”
Ben Affleck, “Live By Night”
Jon Favreau, “The Jungle Book”
Tom Ford, “Nocturnal Animals”
Theodore Melfi, “Hidden Figures”
Jeff Nichols, “Loving”
Morten Tyldum, “Passengers”
Robert Zemekis, “Allied”
Gregory Ellwood’s Current Oscar Predictions:
Best Picture
Director
Best Actress
Best Actor
Best Supporting Actress
Best Supporting Actor
Original Screenplay
Adapted Screenplay
Editing
Cinematography
Production Design
Animated Feature Film
Foreign Language Film
Documentary Feature
Original Score
Original Song
Costume Design
Makeup and Hairstyling
Visual Effects
Sound Mixing
Sound Editing
Editor-at-Large Gregory Ellwood is one of the entertainment industry's most respected journalists and critics. Based in Los Angeles, he's the only current awards expert who previously worked on Oscar campaigns at a major movie studio. Over the years, he has written for the LA Times, Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, and Vox, among others. He also co-founded the entertainment news site HitFix, which spawned a legion of influential Emmy and WGA Award-winning alumni.
