Alfonso Cuaron’s “Roma” may win Best Picture or it may not, but it should certainly take the Foreign Language Film category. If not, Pawel Pawlikowski’s “Cold War” has support in numerous guilds and could surprise. The chances “Roma” loses here are quite slim though. [Updated Feb. 12]
Predictions
1. “Roma” (Mexico), Directed by Alfonso Cuarón
2. “Cold War” (Poland) Directed by Paweł Pawlikowski
3. “Shoplifters” (Japan) Directed by Hirokazu Kore-eda
4. “Capernaum” (Lebanon) Directed by Nadine Labaki
5. “Never Look Away” (Germany) Directed by Florian Henckel von Donnersmarck
More predictions:
Best Picture
Best Director
Actress
Actor
Supporting Actress
Supporting Actor
Original Screenplay
Adapted Screenplay
Foreign Language Film
Editor-at-Large Gregory Ellwood is one of the entertainment industry's most respected journalists and critics. Based in Los Angeles, he's the only current awards expert who previously worked on Oscar campaigns at a major movie studio. Over the years, he has written for the LA Times, Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, and Vox, among others. He also co-founded the entertainment news site HitFix, which spawned a legion of influential Emmy and WGA Award-winning alumni.


