You may think Glenn Close is finally winning an Oscar, but we’re not so sure. Close has campaigned hard. She wants it and isn’t making it a secret. That doesn’t always play well with the membership. We’re also not convinced a majority of voters actually saw her nominated film, “The Wife.” Olivia Colman, on the other hand, delivered arguably one of the most impressive performances of the decade in “The Favourite.” Both won the Globe, Close took SAG (where she is now a 10-time nominee) and Colman took BAFTA. The latter’s membership aligns more with Oscar overall. Yep, we’re gonna die on that hill and we’re more than O.K. with it too. [Updated Feb. 12]
Predictions
1. Olivia Colman, “The Favourite”
2. Glenn Close, “The Wife”
3. Lady Gaga, “A Star is Born”
4. Melissa McCarthy, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
5. Yalitza Aparicio, “Roma”
More predictions:
Best Picture
Best Director
Actress
Actor
Supporting Actress
Supporting Actor
Original Screenplay
Adapted Screenplay
Foreign Language Film
Editor-at-Large Gregory Ellwood is one of the entertainment industry's most respected journalists and critics. Based in Los Angeles, he's the only current awards expert who previously worked on Oscar campaigns at a major movie studio. Over the years, he has written for the LA Times, Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, and Vox, among others. He also co-founded the entertainment news site HitFix, which spawned a legion of influential Emmy and WGA Award-winning alumni.
