This is perhaps the toughest category to predict. We’re going with BAFTA winner Rachel Weisz. The instinct is to predict Regina King, who earned an Oscar nod after getting snubbed by BAFTA and SAG, but there is huge concern enough members haven’t seen “Beale Street.” King could still win based on her reputation in the industry and the fact she won numerous critics groups awards. Amy Adams now has six nominations without a win. There doesn’t appear to be a groundswell for Adams but this category is so close anyone could come up on top except for Emma Stone who pretty much stopped campaigning after the nominations. If the love for “Roma” takes a passionate turn than Marina de Tavira could also surprise. [Updated Feb. 12]
Predictions
1. Rachel Weisz, “The Favourite”
2. Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk”
3. Amy Adams, “Vice”
4. Marina de Tavira, “Roma”
5. Emma Stone, “The Favourite”
More predictions:
BeBest Picture
Best Director
Actress
Actor
Supporting Actress
Supporting Actor
Original Screenplay
Adapted Screenplay
Foreign Language Film
Editor-at-Large Gregory Ellwood is one of the entertainment industry's most respected journalists and critics. Based in Los Angeles, he's the only current awards expert who previously worked on Oscar campaigns at a major movie studio. Over the years, he has written for the LA Times, Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, and Vox, among others. He also co-founded the entertainment news site HitFix, which spawned a legion of influential Emmy and WGA Award-winning alumni.
