It would be shocking if Alfonso Cuaron didn’t win. He took the DGA, BAFTA, the Globe, you name it. There will be a strong contingent of Spike Lee supporters, but many members will believe they are giving him his due in the Adapted Screenplay category. [Updated Feb. 12]
Predictions
1. Alfonso Cauron, “Roma”
2. Spike Lee, “BlacKkKlansman”
3. Paweł Pawlikowski, “Cold War”
4. Yorgos Lanthimos, “The Favourite”
5. Adam McKay, “Vice”
More predictions:
Best Picture
Best Director
Actress
Actor
Supporting Actress
Supporting Actor
Original Screenplay
Adapted Screenplay
Foreign Language Film
Editor-at-Large Gregory Ellwood is one of the entertainment industry's most respected journalists and critics. Based in Los Angeles, he's the only current awards expert who previously worked on Oscar campaigns at a major movie studio. Over the years, he has written for the LA Times, Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, and Vox, among others. He also co-founded the entertainment news site HitFix, which spawned a legion of influential Emmy and WGA Award-winning alumni.


