After Supporting Actress this might be one of the toughest categories to pick. Alfonso Cuaron should win this for her work on “Roma,” but he missed out at the ASC where “Cold War’s” Lukasz Zal was the surprise winner. Cuaron isn’t really a director of photography so in context that upset wasn’t that much of a shock. For the Academy the question remains whether enough members will think the same thing. Our guess is they don’t have a problem with it and he takes it. If not, either Zal or “A Star is Born’s” Matthew Libatique could win. [Updated Feb. 12]
Predictions
1. Alfonso Cuaron, “Roma”
2. Lukasz Zal, “Cold War”
3. Matthew Libatique, “A Star is Born”
4. Robbie Ryan, “The Favourite”
5. Caleb Deschanel, “Never Look Away”
Best Picture
Best Director
Actress
Actor
Supporting Actress
Supporting Actor
Original Screenplay
Adapted Screenplay
Foreign Language Film
Editor-at-Large Gregory Ellwood is one of the entertainment industry's most respected journalists and critics. Based in Los Angeles, he's the only current awards expert who previously worked on Oscar campaigns at a major movie studio. Over the years, he has written for the LA Times, Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, and Vox, among others. He also co-founded the entertainment news site HitFix, which spawned a legion of influential Emmy and WGA Award-winning alumni.
