The first thing you should realize about the 2021 Best Picture race is thanks to a fluctuating domestic theatrical distribution due to the coronavirus pandemic this list of contenders will likely change over the next few months. Don’t be surprised, however, if there are actually some major additions to the mix. At worst, if this is the Oscars field AMPAS members will be choosing from, there are already a number of gems to rightfully follow the historic 2020 winner, “Parasite.”

“Nomadland” and “Minari” have been screened with accolades coming far and wide. “Mank” and “News of the World” are already highly anticipated, while new films from Lee Daniels and Denis Villeneuve are set to make their mark. Will there be surprises at every turn? You bet.

Oh, and if you didn’t see a film you think is a Best Picture player listed here it’s likely because its distributor has made it clear either privately or publicly it won’t be released by Feb. 28. That is, until they change their minds, of course. Update: And like that, “Dune” moves to 2021. Who’s still in? [Updated Oct. 5]

LIKELY CONTENDERS

“Nomadland”
“Minari”
“Mank”
“The Trial of the Chicago 7”
“One Night In Miami”
“News of the World”
“Tenet”
“The United States vs. Billie Holiday”
“Stillwater”
“Greyhound”
“Ammonite”
“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”
“Da 5 Bloods”
“Shirley”
“Respect”
“Judas and the Black Messiah”
“Cherry”
“Promising Young Woman”
“Pieces of a Woman”
“French Exit”

POSSIBLE

“On the Rocks”
“Mulan”
“The King of Staten Island”
“The Midnight Sky”
“Hillbilly Elegy”
“Palm Springs”
“Emma”