“Nomadland,” “Minari” and “Trial of the Chicago 7” are your Best Picture frontrunners. “One Night in Miami,” “The Father” and “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom” are likely safe. “Mank,” “Soul,” “Judas and the Black Messiah” and “Promising Young Woman” are still fighting to secure a nomination. “Da 5 Bloods” and “News of the World” still have a shot. [Updated Feb. 17]

TEN IN THE MIX

“Nomadland”
“Minari”
“Mank”
“The Trial of the Chicago 7”
“One Night In Miami”
“The Father”
“Soul”
“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”
“Judas and the Black Messiah”
“Promising Young Woman”

ALMOST THERE

“Da 5 Bloods”
“News of the World”
“First Cow”